Drought in Indonesia and Australia: As the warm pool of water in the west starts drifting eastward, rainfall travels with it, increasing the odds of drought and fires in places like Indonesia and Australia. Variations of El Niño are referred to as “flavors.” The transition period of an El Niño event, for instance, is called a "Trans Niño." Back in 1997-'98, a massive El Niño in the Pacific Ocean pushed global temperatures to new highs and triggered a spate of extreme weather around the world, ultimately causing some $35 billion in damage and 23,000 deaths. It's hard to discern any predictable pattern: The two strongest El Niño events in the past 150 years occurred in 1982-'83 and 1997-'98. And a strong El Niño tends to transfer more heat to the surface than a weak one does.
That could mean less snowfall, though it depends on the precise shape of El Niño.
So unexpected impacts are very possible. But, again, this may depend on the type of El Niño we get. The "strength" of El Niño depends, in part, on how far that pool of warm water moves eastward. Occurs in the Easter Pacific and produces heavy rainfall. But the western Pacific was still warmer overall.). Here's how El Niño and La Niña have alternated since 1882 — as the chart shows, some years have stronger episodes, some years have weaker ones, some years nothing happens. The longest El Nino in the modern record lasted 18 months, while the longest la Niña lasted 33 months. On the other hand, Hawaii could see an increased risk of tropical storms.
"I've been surprised before, and I'm ready to be surprised again.".
Drought in Indonesia and Australia: As the warm pool of water in the west starts drifting eastward, rainfall travels with it, increasing the odds of drought and fires in places like Indonesia and Australia. Variations of El Niño are referred to as “flavors.” The transition period of an El Niño event, for instance, is called a "Trans Niño." Back in 1997-'98, a massive El Niño in the Pacific Ocean pushed global temperatures to new highs and triggered a spate of extreme weather around the world, ultimately causing some $35 billion in damage and 23,000 deaths. It's hard to discern any predictable pattern: The two strongest El Niño events in the past 150 years occurred in 1982-'83 and 1997-'98. And a strong El Niño tends to transfer more heat to the surface than a weak one does.
That could mean less snowfall, though it depends on the precise shape of El Niño.
So unexpected impacts are very possible. But, again, this may depend on the type of El Niño we get. The "strength" of El Niño depends, in part, on how far that pool of warm water moves eastward. Occurs in the Easter Pacific and produces heavy rainfall. But the western Pacific was still warmer overall.). Here's how El Niño and La Niña have alternated since 1882 — as the chart shows, some years have stronger episodes, some years have weaker ones, some years nothing happens. The longest El Nino in the modern record lasted 18 months, while the longest la Niña lasted 33 months. On the other hand, Hawaii could see an increased risk of tropical storms.
"I've been surprised before, and I'm ready to be surprised again.".
Drought in Indonesia and Australia: As the warm pool of water in the west starts drifting eastward, rainfall travels with it, increasing the odds of drought and fires in places like Indonesia and Australia. Variations of El Niño are referred to as “flavors.” The transition period of an El Niño event, for instance, is called a "Trans Niño." Back in 1997-'98, a massive El Niño in the Pacific Ocean pushed global temperatures to new highs and triggered a spate of extreme weather around the world, ultimately causing some $35 billion in damage and 23,000 deaths. It's hard to discern any predictable pattern: The two strongest El Niño events in the past 150 years occurred in 1982-'83 and 1997-'98. And a strong El Niño tends to transfer more heat to the surface than a weak one does.
That could mean less snowfall, though it depends on the precise shape of El Niño.
So unexpected impacts are very possible. But, again, this may depend on the type of El Niño we get. The "strength" of El Niño depends, in part, on how far that pool of warm water moves eastward. Occurs in the Easter Pacific and produces heavy rainfall. But the western Pacific was still warmer overall.). Here's how El Niño and La Niña have alternated since 1882 — as the chart shows, some years have stronger episodes, some years have weaker ones, some years nothing happens. The longest El Nino in the modern record lasted 18 months, while the longest la Niña lasted 33 months. On the other hand, Hawaii could see an increased risk of tropical storms.
"I've been surprised before, and I'm ready to be surprised again.".
Drought in Indonesia and Australia: As the warm pool of water in the west starts drifting eastward, rainfall travels with it, increasing the odds of drought and fires in places like Indonesia and Australia. Variations of El Niño are referred to as “flavors.” The transition period of an El Niño event, for instance, is called a "Trans Niño." Back in 1997-'98, a massive El Niño in the Pacific Ocean pushed global temperatures to new highs and triggered a spate of extreme weather around the world, ultimately causing some $35 billion in damage and 23,000 deaths. It's hard to discern any predictable pattern: The two strongest El Niño events in the past 150 years occurred in 1982-'83 and 1997-'98. And a strong El Niño tends to transfer more heat to the surface than a weak one does.
That could mean less snowfall, though it depends on the precise shape of El Niño.
So unexpected impacts are very possible. But, again, this may depend on the type of El Niño we get. The "strength" of El Niño depends, in part, on how far that pool of warm water moves eastward. Occurs in the Easter Pacific and produces heavy rainfall. But the western Pacific was still warmer overall.). Here's how El Niño and La Niña have alternated since 1882 — as the chart shows, some years have stronger episodes, some years have weaker ones, some years nothing happens. The longest El Nino in the modern record lasted 18 months, while the longest la Niña lasted 33 months. On the other hand, Hawaii could see an increased risk of tropical storms.
"I've been surprised before, and I'm ready to be surprised again.".
Drought in Indonesia and Australia: As the warm pool of water in the west starts drifting eastward, rainfall travels with it, increasing the odds of drought and fires in places like Indonesia and Australia. Variations of El Niño are referred to as “flavors.” The transition period of an El Niño event, for instance, is called a "Trans Niño." Back in 1997-'98, a massive El Niño in the Pacific Ocean pushed global temperatures to new highs and triggered a spate of extreme weather around the world, ultimately causing some $35 billion in damage and 23,000 deaths. It's hard to discern any predictable pattern: The two strongest El Niño events in the past 150 years occurred in 1982-'83 and 1997-'98. And a strong El Niño tends to transfer more heat to the surface than a weak one does.
That could mean less snowfall, though it depends on the precise shape of El Niño.
So unexpected impacts are very possible. But, again, this may depend on the type of El Niño we get. The "strength" of El Niño depends, in part, on how far that pool of warm water moves eastward. Occurs in the Easter Pacific and produces heavy rainfall. But the western Pacific was still warmer overall.). Here's how El Niño and La Niña have alternated since 1882 — as the chart shows, some years have stronger episodes, some years have weaker ones, some years nothing happens. The longest El Nino in the modern record lasted 18 months, while the longest la Niña lasted 33 months. On the other hand, Hawaii could see an increased risk of tropical storms.
"I've been surprised before, and I'm ready to be surprised again.".
Somewhat fewer Atlantic hurricanes: A strong El Niño typically increases hurricane activity in the Pacific and lowers it slightly in the Atlantic (by increasing the wind shear that prevents storms from forming). Sea surface temperatures near Indonesia are also about 8°C (14.4°F) warmer than they are near Peru. Over the past 30 years, subsurface ocean temperatures in the Pacific have only risen as high as they currently are once — in 1997. Why does El Niño occur? So in 1997, temperatures in the eastern Pacific were 4°C above their usual levels, while temperatures in the western Pacific barely changed.
Trans Niño events occur at the onset and closing of an El Niño event. More severe weather in the South: During an El Niño, the jet stream stretches from the eastern Pacific across the southern United States, often bringing more frequent and stronger storms to the region, particularly during the winter.
By the way, La Niña is basically the opposite of El Niño — it occurs when those east-to-west trade winds strengthen. Chip in as little as $3 to help keep it free for everyone. During "neutral" conditions, sea levels are about half a meter higher in Indonesia than they are in South America. The "El Niño" FAQ: Frequently Asked Questions About . The result?
Drought in Indonesia and Australia: As the warm pool of water in the west starts drifting eastward, rainfall travels with it, increasing the odds of drought and fires in places like Indonesia and Australia. Variations of El Niño are referred to as “flavors.” The transition period of an El Niño event, for instance, is called a "Trans Niño." Back in 1997-'98, a massive El Niño in the Pacific Ocean pushed global temperatures to new highs and triggered a spate of extreme weather around the world, ultimately causing some $35 billion in damage and 23,000 deaths. It's hard to discern any predictable pattern: The two strongest El Niño events in the past 150 years occurred in 1982-'83 and 1997-'98. And a strong El Niño tends to transfer more heat to the surface than a weak one does.
That could mean less snowfall, though it depends on the precise shape of El Niño.
So unexpected impacts are very possible. But, again, this may depend on the type of El Niño we get. The "strength" of El Niño depends, in part, on how far that pool of warm water moves eastward. Occurs in the Easter Pacific and produces heavy rainfall. But the western Pacific was still warmer overall.). Here's how El Niño and La Niña have alternated since 1882 — as the chart shows, some years have stronger episodes, some years have weaker ones, some years nothing happens. The longest El Nino in the modern record lasted 18 months, while the longest la Niña lasted 33 months. On the other hand, Hawaii could see an increased risk of tropical storms.
"I've been surprised before, and I'm ready to be surprised again.".
